Femsa vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
GDE
4 - 0
FEM
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
FEM
4 - 2
UBC
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
TOR
1 - 1
FEM
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
FEM
2 - 1
VIL
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
AVI
1 - 2
FEM
68%
18%
15%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
UBC
2 - 1
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
CAR
1 - 0
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
VIL
4 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
CAR
4 - 3
AVI
61%
20%
18%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
SBA
2 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |