Femsa vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CAR
2 - 2
FEM
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
FEM
2 - 2
GDE
45%
24%
32%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
UBC
3 - 1
FEM
63%
21%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FEM
1 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
VIL
2 - 0
FEM
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
CDT
3 - 1
GDE
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
UBC
3 - 1
CDT
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
CDT
0 - 0
TOR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
VIL
1 - 2
CDT
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
CDT
5 - 1
AVI
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |