Femsa vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Femsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
ARA
0 - 1
FEM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
FEM
1 - 3
UBC
59%
21%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 0
FEM
54%
21%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
FEM
1 - 3
TAL
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
SEG
3 - 0
FEM
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
PUL
2 - 2
UBC
86%
9%
5%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
TAL
1 - 1
PUL
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
PUL
4 - 1
AVI
83%
10%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
GUA
1 - 1
PUL
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
PUL
4 - 0
LEG
86%
9%
5%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |