Fabero vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FUT
1 - 2
FAB
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FAB
4 - 0
ARE
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 4
FAB
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
ATL
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BER
2 - 1
FAB
32%
24%
44%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATL
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FUT
3 - 2
TOR
44%
22%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 2
TOR
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 3
TOR
44%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 0
VEG
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |