Fabero vs Toreno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
FAB
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 2
BOS
52%
22%
27%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
FAB
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
FAB
2 - 1
VEG
64%
19%
17%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FAB
24%
22%
54%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Toreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIR
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
5 - 1
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 0
TOR
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOS
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |