Fabero vs Atl. Mansillés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARE
0 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FAB
3 - 1
BER
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAC
0 - 0
FAB
49%
22%
29%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
FAB
76%
15%
10%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FAB
5 - 0
CDF
55%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Mansillés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIR
28%
22%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
3 - 1
ATL
60%
20%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 3
TOR
36%
22%
42%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOS
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PON
2 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
9%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |