CD Elgoibar B vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Elgoibar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
REA
4 - 0
CDE
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RSO
2 - 0
CDE
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDE
2 - 3
AFT
21%
24%
55%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ALÑ
3 - 1
CDE
67%
19%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CDE
3 - 2
PAS
25%
23%
52%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
4 - 0
BKE
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
HON
60%
22%
17%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
TOL
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 0
MON
66%
20%
13%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
URO
0 - 4
TOL
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |