El Rumbo A vs Bugarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Rumbo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAS
5 - 2
RUM
67%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RUM
2 - 1
TUR
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RUM
1 - 1
ELI
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
FOI
0 - 1
RUM
75%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
GOD
7 - 1
RUM
86%
10%
5%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bugarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BUG
3 - 2
ELI
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FOI
3 - 5
BUG
27%
22%
50%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
BUG
2 - 4
GOD
56%
19%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
BUG
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SER
3 - 0
BUG
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |