CD El Nacional vs Defensor Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
NAC
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
NAC
1 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
33 | 76 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | +3 |