CD El Nacional vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
6 - 0
FAM
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEL
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 3
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 2
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
CUE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |