CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 3
NAC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 1
ORE
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UNI
3 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NAC
0 - 1
AUC
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MAN
4 - 3
NAC
39%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
IVT
4 - 0
CUE
49%
27%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
BSC
1 - 0
IVT
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
AUC
1 - 2
IVT
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
MAC
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |