CD El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 3
CUE
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DEL
3 - 1
NAC
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
EME
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 2
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
FAM
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
LIG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 3
IVT
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 0
AUC
65%
21%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
2 - 1
BOC
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 1
DEL
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |