CD El Nacional vs Primero de Mayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 4
IMB
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
PQU
1 - 1
NAC
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Primero de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CSM
2 - 3
FIL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
FIL
2 - 1
CSM
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CSM
0 - 1
PSC
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
PSC
1 - 1
CSM
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |