CD El Nacional vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
IVT
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CUE
2 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
UCE
43%
24%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
DEL
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
2 - 1
LIG
25%
28%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 1
MAC
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 3
TEC
37%
27%
37%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
TEC
0 - 2
IVT
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |