CD El Nacional vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
QUI
2 - 1
NAC
51%
27%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 2
AUC
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
CUE
1 - 0
NAC
40%
29%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
CUE
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
AUC
2 - 2
NAC
40%
29%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TEC
0 - 0
LIG
19%
27%
54%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 0
TEC
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TEC
1 - 2
BSC
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BSC
4 - 0
TEC
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2003 |
TEC
0 - 0
MAN
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |