CD El Esparragal vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
65.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD El Esparragal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 1
EEP
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
EEP
1 - 3
MUL
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ABA
2 - 0
EEP
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 0
EEP
68%
20%
12%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
EEP
2 - 1
CLU
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CEU
2 - 2
VIL
6%
14%
80%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 2
RAA
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CLU
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PLU
0 - 1
VIL
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |