Tercera - Postupové Play Off Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Pvo. El Ejido vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pvo. El Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
CLU
3 - 2
CDE
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CDE
3 - 0
CLU
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CDE
6 - 0
VEL
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDE
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CDE
3 - 2
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
CRD
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CRD
1 - 2
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 6
LOR
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
YEC
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
LOR
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |