CDE Malasaña vs UD Arroyofresno B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+142%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDE Malasaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
IDP
4 - 0
MAL
76%
14%
11%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MAL
1 - 9
SPA
28%
19%
53%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CMM
9 - 2
MAL
76%
13%
11%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MAL
3 - 6
AUA
54%
19%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
RUP
4 - 3
MAL
70%
15%
15%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Arroyofresno B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ARF
1 - 2
IDP
12%
15%
74%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
5 - 5
ARF
83%
10%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ARF
2 - 4
CMM
17%
18%
65%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AUA
7 - 6
ARF
56%
20%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ARF
0 - 7
RUP
24%
20%
57%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -2 |