Mentema Boadilla vs Alpedrete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
19.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+179%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mentema Boadilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
1 - 2
AUP
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
AUP
1 - 2
HMA
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CRG
5 - 2
AUP
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AUP
2 - 3
VIL
63%
18%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NUE
2 - 2
AUP
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alpedrete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
3 - 1
POZ
16%
17%
67%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCV
0 - 2
ALP
28%
21%
52%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 4
LRO
32%
22%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HMA
6 - 1
ALP
73%
16%
12%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 2
UAR
36%
21%
43%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |