CD Dúrcal vs Ciudad de Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
51.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+274%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CDI
5 - 2
CDD
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 2
EST
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 2
CDD
58%
19%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 5
CFL
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
CDD
6 - 5
AGU
37%
23%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CIU
3 - 1
ARE
32%
22%
47%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDM
0 - 0
CIU
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CIU
4 - 0
CEL
23%
21%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CIU
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CIU
0 - 1
ALM
20%
22%
58%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |