CD Dúrcal vs Alfacar UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Dúrcal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 4
CDD
13%
16%
72%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
3 - 0
MED
51%
21%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
2 - 4
UDM
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ALM
6 - 2
CDD
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -3 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EST
2 - 3
CDD
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alfacar UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CFV
3 - 2
ALF
66%
16%
17%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
4 - 1
CEL
85%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MED
1 - 1
ALF
29%
22%
49%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 1
ALM
78%
13%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UDM
0 - 1
ALF
49%
21%
31%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +2 |