CD Don Bosco B vs Derecho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
10.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Bosco B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 2
ZAF
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POZ
1 - 0
BOS
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BOS
3 - 1
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RVA
0 - 1
BOS
37%
22%
42%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BOS
3 - 2
VCD
69%
16%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derecho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
JUV
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZAF
3 - 2
DER
35%
21%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DER
3 - 4
POZ
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 4
DER
42%
21%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DER
2 - 2
RVA
25%
21%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |