CD Don Benito vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
28%
56.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
19.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
4 - 0
DBN
80%
15%
6%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
DBN
0 - 2
REC
20%
27%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
DBN
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
DBN
2 - 2
BAL
13%
24%
64%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 0
DBN
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
UCA
3 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
0 - 2
UCA
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
TAL
0 - 0
UCA
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 0
MAR
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
UCA
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |