CD Don Benito vs EMD Aceuchal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
DBN
3 - 1
MOR
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VIL
0 - 1
DBN
24%
27%
49%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
DBN
0 - 1
MOR
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
GUA
2 - 5
DBN
16%
24%
60%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
DBN
1 - 0
OLI
90%
8%
2%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
EMD
1 - 2
CPA
30%
28%
43%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
MER
3 - 1
EMD
73%
18%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
EMD
1 - 1
AZU
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
EMD
1 - 0
MOR
30%
29%
41%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
ADP
2 - 4
EMD
50%
25%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |