CD Don Benito vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
DBN
25%
27%
48%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DBN
2 - 0
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
0 - 3
DBN
16%
26%
59%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DBN
1 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
EXT
1 - 1
DBN
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CDZ
1 - 0
ARR
17%
22%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 1
PLA
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
9 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARR
1 - 2
CPC
15%
24%
61%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -2 |