CD Don Álvaro vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
EXT
1 - 1
CDD
67%
19%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDD
1 - 3
BAD
49%
23%
29%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MIA
1 - 0
CDD
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CDD
2 - 2
OLI
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDD
4 - 0
CDD
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
1 - 1
AZU
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
EXT
1 - 2
MOR
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BAD
1 - 2
MOR
13%
20%
67%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CDG
1 - 0
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |