CD Don Álvaro vs Montehermoso analysis

CD Don Álvaro Montehermoso
18 ELO 20
9.8% Tilt -3.9%
12316º General ELO ranking 10262º
1890º Country ELO ranking 740º
ELO win probability
45.2%
CD Don Álvaro
22.9%
Draw
32%
Montehermoso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
CD Don Álvaro
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32%
Win probability
Montehermoso
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Don Álvaro
-7%
+16%
Montehermoso

Points and table prediction

CD Don Álvaro
Their league position
Montehermoso
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
18º
15º
32
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Don Benito
76
76
100%
CD Coria
69
69
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Villafranca
55
55
100%
Moralo
53
53
100%
Castuera
52
52
100%
CD Diocesano
49
49
100%
CF Jaraíz
46
46
100%
Pueblonuevo
43
43
100%
Calamonte
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Jerez
11º
42
42
11º
0%
Arroyo
13º
41
41
12º
100%
Olivenza
12º
41
41
13º
100%
Trujillo
14º
38
38
14º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
32
32
15º
0%
Montehermoso
17º
32
32
16º
100%
Racing Valverdeño
16º
32
32
17º
0%
UD Fuente de Cantos
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Don Álvaro
Montehermoso
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

CD Don Álvaro
Montehermoso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Don Álvaro
CD Don Álvaro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
CFJ
CF Jaraíz
6 - 1
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
67%
18%
15%
19 24 5 0
24 Sep. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
2 - 1
Trujillo
TRU
30%
24%
46%
18 24 6 +1
17 Sep. 2023
COR
CD Coria
4 - 0
CD Don Álvaro
CDD
87%
10%
3%
18 40 22 0
10 Sep. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
1 - 1
Calamonte
CAL
28%
23%
49%
18 25 7 0
12 Aug. 2023
CDD
CD Don Álvaro
3 - 3
Villafranca
VIL
24%
24%
51%
18 26 8 0

Matches

Montehermoso
Montehermoso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
MON
Montehermoso
2 - 0
Racing Valverdeño
VAL
40%
25%
35%
20 20 0 0
24 Sep. 2023
AZU
CD Azuaga
0 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
72%
17%
11%
20 28 8 0
17 Sep. 2023
MON
Montehermoso
2 - 0
Villafranca
VIL
16%
22%
63%
18 28 10 +2
10 Sep. 2023
UDF
UD Fuente de Cantos
0 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
60%
22%
19%
17 21 4 +1
12 Aug. 2023
MON
Montehermoso
0 - 2
CD Coria
COR
10%
21%
69%
18 39 21 -1