CD Don Álvaro vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
13º
16º
14º
48
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 1
CDD
59%
22%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 0
MIA
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 0
CDD
77%
15%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDD
0 - 0
ARR
33%
25%
42%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TRU
1 - 0
CDD
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JER
0 - 0
AZU
24%
25%
51%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ADL
1 - 1
JER
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
JER
0 - 0
UCL
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
JER
47%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JER
3 - 0
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |