CD Don Álvaro vs AD Llerenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ZAL
1 - 2
CDD
60%
20%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDD
0 - 2
CDS
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDD
36%
23%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDD
1 - 4
CDB
42%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
USA
0 - 4
CDD
43%
23%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD Llerenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ADL
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ADL
2 - 0
QUI
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ZAL
1 - 1
ADL
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ADL
2 - 2
CDS
28%
26%
47%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
ADL
41%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |