Don Álvaro B vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+147%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Álvaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
7 - 2
TRU
45%
22%
34%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 1
ALA
72%
15%
13%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MET
3 - 0
ALV
30%
22%
48%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALV
3 - 1
CAT
24%
20%
57%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 0
ALV
20%
20%
61%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PUL
1 - 8
TRU
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALA
5 - 4
PUL
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PUL
0 - 5
MET
30%
21%
49%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CDZ
6 - 0
PUL
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
PUL
21%
20%
59%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |