Don Álvaro B vs Valdehornillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Álvaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ASQ
2 - 2
ALV
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALV
1 - 1
LHA
58%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUL
0 - 4
ALV
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
TRU
3 - 0
ALV
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALA
1 - 1
ALV
13%
17%
70%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valdehornillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
TRU
3 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 4
VAL
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
MET
23%
21%
56%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CDZ
1 - 0
VAL
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
5 - 1
MAD
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |