CD Diocesano vs Unión Adarve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
51%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
18º
16º
47
2º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 39 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
57.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
72% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
ZAR
6%
15%
80%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDD
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 1
UDS
23%
27%
50%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
2 - 3
LEG
29%
23%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CPC
3 - 0
CDD
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ADA
1 - 2
LIN
12%
18%
71%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ADA
0 - 0
CPC
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
ADA
42%
28%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ADA
3 - 3
PAS
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
ADA
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |