CD Diocesano vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
CDD
29%
24%
48%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
3 - 0
EXT
74%
16%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BAD
1 - 3
CDD
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 0
MIA
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 0
CDD
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
ADL
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
ARR
36%
27%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 0
AZU
48%
26%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARR
44%
26%
29%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
TRU
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |