CD Derio vs Sd Ugeraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SDD
4 - 3
CDD
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDD
2 - 0
GUR
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
CDD
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
CDD
2 - 1
SDE
19%
23%
59%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
IUR
3 - 1
CDD
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sd Ugeraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SDU
0 - 1
CDE
42%
24%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SDU
0 - 0
CDG
40%
24%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SDD
1 - 1
SDU
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SDU
0 - 2
GUR
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 0
SDU
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |