CD Derio vs Apurtuarte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SDS
0 - 1
CDD
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
CDD
1 - 2
ACD
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CDS
1 - 1
CDD
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CDD
3 - 0
GAL
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CDD
0 - 0
SDE
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
APU
3 - 2
CDL
58%
23%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
URD
1 - 1
APU
33%
27%
40%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
APU
1 - 1
IUR
34%
27%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CDP
4 - 2
APU
56%
25%
19%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
APU
0 - 0
CDE
41%
26%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |