Derecho vs U. Zaratán B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derecho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
UDS
6 - 0
DER
59%
20%
22%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ISI
4 - 0
DER
71%
17%
13%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DER
0 - 3
RAC
31%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AGU
5 - 1
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
DER
0 - 5
CIS
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
U. Zaratán B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 1
BOS
50%
22%
28%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 3
SEQ
25%
22%
53%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
UDS
4 - 4
UNI
49%
22%
29%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
RAC
30%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ISI
4 - 3
UNI
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |