Derecho vs CD Don Bosco B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
58.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+113%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derecho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
DER
4 - 4
AGU
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
DER
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
PIO
14%
18%
69%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
DER
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
DER
0 - 4
BOS
41%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |