Derecho vs Adev Zafiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derecho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
POZ
4 - 0
DER
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DER
4 - 1
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RVA
2 - 3
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
DER
2 - 2
VCD
25%
21%
55%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 2
DER
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Adev Zafiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ZAF
0 - 1
JUV
29%
22%
50%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ZAF
4 - 1
POZ
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 3
ZAF
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ZAF
0 - 6
RVA
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 2
ZAF
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |