Cox vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
3 - 2
CDC
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
PIN
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
CDC
41%
24%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 0
ALB
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ALG
1 - 2
CDC
52%
23%
26%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 2
SPO
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
PET
0 - 1
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 0
MON
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
GUS
2 - 0
UDF
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
1 - 3
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |