Cox vs UD Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MON
4 - 2
CDC
73%
15%
12%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 1
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 0
ALG
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
0 - 1
CDC
43%
23%
34%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CDC
0 - 0
SPO
67%
18%
16%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 0
SPO
60%
20%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
UDA
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 3
UDA
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 4
UDA
10%
17%
74%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
UDA
0 - 2
COC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |