Cox vs Orihuela B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
SPD
4 - 3
CDC
37%
23%
41%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
3 - 2
ALG
43%
25%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
CDC
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 1
ALG
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CFP
1 - 2
CDC
24%
22%
54%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Orihuela B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 2
ALG
8%
17%
75%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 0
ORI
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ORI
2 - 3
ALG
16%
21%
63%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CFP
2 - 0
ORI
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
ORI
0 - 1
RAC
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |