Cox vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
ORI
4 - 3
CDC
8%
16%
76%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 0
SPD
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALG
1 - 1
CDC
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 2
RAF
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALG
1 - 2
CDC
38%
22%
40%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 0
ALG
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RAF
0 - 0
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SPO
0 - 0
ALG
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CFP
0 - 5
SPO
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
RAC
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |