Cox vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
63.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
3 - 3
HON
21%
21%
59%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 2
CDC
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 2
SPO
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
7 - 3
CDC
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
CDC
0 - 2
SGU
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
DOL
2 - 1
RAF
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RAF
3 - 2
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BAH
5 - 1
RAF
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
RAF
5 - 0
ALT
57%
22%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GAB
2 - 1
RAF
68%
17%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |