Cox vs Altet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
72.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
GAB
4 - 1
CDC
91%
6%
3%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CDC
0 - 4
HOR
20%
22%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RAF
2 - 1
CDC
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
CDC
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
CDC
1 - 2
UNI
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Altet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
DOL
59%
20%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TOR
0 - 1
ALT
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ALT
3 - 1
BAH
43%
23%
34%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALT
2 - 2
RAF
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
ALT
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |