Cox vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DNA
1 - 2
CDC
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
5 - 2
ALG
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CDC
15 - 0
MON
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
CDC
15%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CDC
1 - 0
ATO
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
BIG
3 - 0
MON
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 7
BIG
19%
22%
59%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BIG
3 - 0
ATO
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
THA
0 - 4
BIG
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
BIG
1 - 1
SPO
29%
23%
49%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |