Covaleda vs Numancia C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 3
COV
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
COV
36%
23%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
FSF
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 0
COV
81%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
COV
0 - 1
LAN
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 1
EST
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NUM
2 - 2
PIQ
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CDC
2 - 2
NUM
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NUM
1 - 2
NAV
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VIS
3 - 5
NUM
6%
14%
80%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |