Covaleda vs Norma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
COV
55%
21%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
COV
2 - 1
PIQ
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 2
COV
52%
21%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
COV
1 - 4
TAR
13%
17%
71%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
COV
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 2
VAL
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 3
NOR
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 0
PIQ
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 4
NOR
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |