Covaleda vs Quintana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+187%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PIQ
3 - 0
COV
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
COV
0 - 3
CAL
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
COV
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
COV
0 - 1
VIS
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ABE
4 - 0
COV
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Quintana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
QUI
2 - 5
VAL
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
VIS
0 - 2
QUI
50%
21%
28%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
QUI
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 2
PIQ
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
QUI
0 - 2
TAR
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |