Covaleda vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
62.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
BAÑ
1 - 0
COV
86%
11%
4%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
COV
2 - 3
VDB
13%
25%
63%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
ATB
0 - 0
COV
86%
11%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
COV
1 - 2
SAL
14%
27%
59%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
RIB
5 - 1
COV
83%
13%
4%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
VDB
1 - 1
AST
61%
22%
17%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
AST
1 - 2
SAL
47%
28%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
LEO
0 - 0
AST
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
AST
2 - 0
CPM
79%
15%
6%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1992 |
LER
3 - 2
AST
63%
21%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |