Covaleda vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
62.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+288%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Covaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NUM
5 - 1
COV
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
COV
1 - 1
CAS
27%
21%
52%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FSF
1 - 0
COV
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COV
1 - 4
ABE
22%
22%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
8 - 0
COV
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
0 - 1
PIQ
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 0
ARC
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
4 - 0
NAV
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIS
0 - 2
ARC
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
3 - 0
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |